我国保障性住房供需分析研究.pdfVIP

Study on the Affordable Housing Supply and Demand in our Country A Dissertation Submitted for the Degree of Master Candidate: Qiao Xia Supervisor: Wang Xiaoyan Chang’an University, Xi’an, China 摘 要 我国是典型的人多地少的国家，土地资源严重短缺。经过多年的努力，我国已初步 建立起了以经济适用房和廉租房为主的住房保障体系。经济适用房和廉租房为满足城镇 居民住房需求发挥了积极的作用，圆了许多中低收入者多年的住房梦，改善了住房条件， 一定程度上促进了中国房地产业的健康发展、拉动了内需、刺激了消费，也为我国GDP 的增长作出了一定的贡献。但在实施过程中也出现了诸多问题，譬如住房体制不成熟导 致的保障对象界定标准混乱、缺乏有效的收入监测机制、建设规划不合理、保障资金匮 乏、房源不足等等都严重影响着保障房制度社会功能的发挥。 本文采用文献法、比较法等研究方法，界定了各类保障房的概念，比较了不同保障 房的特点，阐述了建立保障性住房制度的重大意义和理论基础，分析了我国保障性住房 制度的政策轨迹和发展历程。本文还通过GM(1,1) 方法预测了 2011 年—2016 年我国保 障性住房的供给和需求量，并对预测数据进行对比后发现，随着城市化进程的加快，我 国将出现严重的保障房供给缺口，通过借鉴国内、国外先进经验，结合我国国情，提出 了建立完备的法律体系、充分发挥政府职能、改革补贴模式、增加资金来源渠道、规范 建设标准、合理确定保障对象等政策建议，确保我国保障性住房供需平衡。 关键词：经济适用房； 廉租房； 供给； 需求 i Abstract China is a typical country with much person, but little ground, a serious shortage of land resources. After many years of efforts, China has initially established to affordable housing and low-rent housing security system. Affordable housing and low-rent housing to meet the housing needs of urban residents has played a positive role, round many low-income housing dream for many years, to improve their housing conditions, to some extent, promoted the Chinese real estate industry healthy development, pull move inside need, stimulate consumption, but also for China’s GDP growth to make a certain contribution. But in the implementation process, problem have also emerged, such as housing system is not mature to security object definition standard of chaos, the lack of effective monitoring mechanism construction of income, unreasonable plannin