毕业设计（论文）_基于层次分析法的企业项目投资风险评价模型研究.docVIP

基于层次分析法的企业项目投资风险评价模型研究 摘要 ：企业的项目投资着眼于预期的收益，因而不可避免的承担着相应的风险。在投资活动中把握机会、降低风险或者减少风险损失，是投资活动成功的重要保证。风险是以一定概率存在的损失发生的可能性，风险管理是一种系统的、专门的管理方法，通过对风险进行识别、评估和控制，以最小成本使风险造成的损失降到最低。工程项目的整个寿命周期内，可能面临各种各样的风险，包括经济风险、管理经营风险、环境风险等，这就要求工程项目风险管理者，针对项目的各个阶段，进行全过程、全面的、集成化的风险管理。风险评价作为投资项目风险管理的关键步骤，不仅会决定投资项目风险管理实施的效果，而且可能对整个投资工程项目的成败构成影响，它的实施是必要的，也是可行的。本文在分析国内外相关研究现状的基础上，主要在以下几个方面进行了研究：首先对风险及风险管理理论进行概述，包括风险研究的意义及定义风险管理的过程、风险管理的内涵。其次在遵循客观性、系统性、动态性等原则的基础上。对投资项目风险评价指标进行分析，继而建立起了一套较为完整的投资项目综合评价指标体系。最后以案例分析的形式，对某房地产投资项目的综合风险状况进行了评价和验证，同时对本文提出的以AHP为基础的工程项目风险评价体系的可操作性进行了检验。 关键词: 项目投资；风险分析；风险管理；层析分析法 AHP-based Enterprise Project Risk Evaluation Model Abstract:：Investment companies focused on the expected benefits, which inevitably bear the corresponding risks. Opportunity in investment activities and reduce the risk or reduce the risk of loss, is an important guarantee for the success of investment activities. There is a certain probability of risk the likelihood of loss, risk management is a systematic, dedicated management, through risk identification, assessment and control, to minimize the cost of the risk of losses to a minimum. The entire project life cycle, may face various risks, including economic risk, management of risks, environmental risks, which requires the project risk manager, for all stages of the project, the whole process, comprehensive , integrated risk management. Risk assessment as an investment a key step in project risk management, investment projects will not only determine the effect of the implementation of risk management, and the entire investment may affect the success of the project, its implementation is necessary and feasible. Based on the analysis and abroad on the basis of related research, mainly in the following aspects were studied: first, theories of risk and risk management overview, including the meaning and definition of the risk of the risk management process, risk management implications. Secondly, follow the objective, systematic, dy