区域间风电投资收益风险对比分析模型.pdfVIP

第 37 卷 第 3 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 37 No. 3 2013 年 3 月 Power System Technology Mar. 2013 文章编号：1000-3673 （2013 ）03-0713-07 中图分类号：TM 712 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4054 区域间风电投资收益风险对比分析模型 谭忠富，吴恩琦，鞠立伟，宋艺航，沈思，张金良 （华北电力大学经济与管理学院，北京市 昌平区 102206 ） A Model for Contrastive Analysis on Risk of Income From Investment in Different Wind Power Resource Regions TAN Zhongfu, WU Enqi, JU Liwei, SONG Yihang, SHEN Si, ZHANG Jinliang (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China) ABSTRACT: The wind power accommodated by power grid 来了一定的风险，这约束了风电的可并网量[2-4] 。因 is greatly restrained by the intermittence and the randomness of 此，为了充分发挥风电的环境效益，增加并网容量， wind turbine output. Based on present policy relevant to the 针对风电并网开展研究，探讨合理的风电发展方式 development of wind power industry in China, the risk of 及风险管理策略具有重要的意义。 developing wind power industry is analyzed in three aspects, 目前，国内关于风电的主要研究方向包括风电 namely the policy, economy and accommodation ability of wind power, and a corresponding analysis model to analyze the 并网协调性、备用服务及风电并网效益等。文 benefit from wind power generation is proposed. It is found by 献[5-6]结合近年来国内外风电发展的总体情况，阐 case calculation and sensitivity analysis that in view of good 述我国风电及其装备制造业的建设与发展历程，并 development prospects the third and the fourth type of wind 对我国风电的发展前景进行分析。文献[6-7]分析了 power resource regions should be regarded as the key regions 风电集中并网对电网的影响，并提出了电网消纳风 for the development of wind power generation. 电的应对措施。文