基于小波分解和最小二乘支持向量机的短期风速预测.pdfVIP

第 34 卷 第 1 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 34 No. 1 2010 年 1 月 Power System Technology Jan. 2010 文章编号：1000-3673 （2010 ）01-0179-06 中图分类号：TM 615 ；TM 744 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·40 基于小波分解和最小二乘支持向量机的 短期风速预测 王晓兰，王明伟 （兰州理工大学电气工程与信息工程学院，甘肃省 兰州市 730050 ） Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Wavelet Decomposition and Least Square Support Vector Machine WANG Xiao-lan, WANG Ming-wei (College of Electrical Engineering and Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, Gansu Province, China) ABSTRACT: Short-term wind speed forecasting is of 关键词：风速预测；风力发电；风电场；小波分解；最小二 significance for the operation of grid-connected wind power 乘支持向量机 generation systems. A more accurate wind speed forecasting 0 引言 can effectively reduce or avoid the adverse effect of wind farm on power grid, meanwhile strengthens competition ability of 开发与利用新能源是我国 21 世纪的重要能源 wind farm in electricity market. In this paper the value and 战略。风能是一种环境友好的可持续性能源，已受 methods of wind speed forecasting are briefly introduced, and a 到越来越广泛地重视，并成为发展最快的新型能 short-term wind speed forecasting method based on wavelet 源[1] 。开发和利用风能的主要形式是现代大规模并 decomposition (WD) and least square support vector machine 网风力发电。近年来，风力发电机组单机容量和大 (LSSVM) is proposed. Serving wind farms in Hong Kong region and the Hexi Corridor in Northwest China as examples 型并网风电场的发电总容量都在迅速增长，对电力 [2] respectively, two WD-LSSVM models