电力系统暂态稳定概率评估方法.pdfVIP

第33 卷 第6 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 33 No. 6 2009 年3 月 Power System Technology Mar. 2009 文章编号：1000-3673 （2009 ）06-0019-05 中图分类号：TM712 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4051 电力系统暂态稳定概率评估方法 叶圣永，王晓茹，刘志刚，钱清泉 （西南交通大学电气工程学院，四川省 成都市 610031 ） Approach to Assess Power System Transient Stability Probability YE Sheng-yong ，WANG Xiao-ru ，LIU Zhi-gang ，QIAN Qing-quan （School of Electrical Engineering，Southwest Jiaotong University，Chengdu 610031，Sichuan Province，China ） ABSTRACT: Based on Monte Carlo-support vector machine 该方法能大幅减少模拟时间，满足暂态稳定概率评估的精度 (SVM), an approach to assess power system transient stability 要求。 probability is proposed. A set of high-dimension features 关键词：暂态稳定；概率评估；非序贯蒙特卡罗模拟；支持 containing original features of power system stability and fault 向量机；径向基核函数 information is constructed and after the feature selection and dimension reduction the set is taken as the input of SVM and 0 引言 10-fold crossvalidation are conducted with training set; four 电力系统规划、设计、运行等工作都要进行大 kinds of SVMs are researched and research results show that 量的暂态稳定分析[1-6] 。确定性的暂态稳定方法在电 the radial base kernel SVM possesses good assessment 力系统的规划和运行中已使用了多年。确定性方法 performance; by use on non-sequential Monte Carlo simulation, the stochastic factors are chosen and the radial base kernel 通常保证系统在极端运行工况和最严重故障等情 SVM is adopted to accelerate the assessment of transient 况下仍能正常运行[7] [8]