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behavioural strongfinancestrong implications in portfolio construction
Behavioural Finance implications in portfolio
construction
John Livanas
Research Fellow, UNSW
Abstract
The paper outlines some thoughts on portfolio construction where investors have
asymmetric risk tolerance, with steeper downside risk intolerance. The paper presents
the implications of this understanding on indifference curves by mapping Kahneman
Tversky’s “Value’ function as a set of ‘Value indifference curves’, and identifies an
implication that portfolio optimisation may consider downside insurance. The paper
goes on to discuss the appropriate time horizon of the portfolio given investor
indifference to time, and given indeterminate cashflows.
Finally the paper outlines the process of risk budgeting, and again poses the question
as to whether portfolio optimisation must consider asymmetric investor risk tolerance.
Introduction
Portfolio construction has developed significantly over the last decades, utilising the
enormous advancements in computing power, and applying many of the lessons from
portfolio theory.
Portfolio construction is ultimately based on the premise that risk can be diversified
by adding in assets that are less than perfectly correlated, allowing the portfolio to
achieve a better return per unit risk undertaken. From an investor’s perspective,
portfolios are to be constructed taking into account each investor’s risk return
preferences, with the optimal portfolio resting on the efficient frontier. With these
two, sometimes competing objectives, and with the extensive assumptions in each, it’s
no wonder then that portfolio construction is sometimes seen as a black art.
More recently advances in behavioural finance have developed a better understanding
of investor preferences and provided insight into the way investors make their
decisions. For example, investor preferences on risk are asymmetri
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