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current strongaccountstrong adjustment in eu countries does euro-area
Discussion Paper
Deutsche Bundesbank
No 49/2013
Current account adjustment in EU countries:
Does euro-area membership make a difference?
Sabine Herrmann
Axel Jochem
Discussion Papers represent the authors‘ personal opinions and do not
necessarily reflect the views of the Deutsche Bundesbank or its staff.
Editorial Board: Klaus Düllmann
Heinz Herrmann
Mathias Hoffmann
Christoph Memmel
Deutsche Bundesbank, Wilhelm-Epstein-Straße 14, 60431 Frankfurt am Main,
Postfach 10 06 02, 60006 Frankfurt am Main
Tel +49 69 9566-0
Please address all orders in writing to: Deutsche Bundesbank,
Press and Public Relations Division, at the above address or via fax +49 69 9566-3077
Internet http://www.bundesbank.de
Reproduction permitted only if source is stated.
ISBN 978–3–86558– 9 86– 6 (Printversion)
ISBN 978–3–86558– 9 87– 3 (Internetversion)
Non-technical summary
In the pre-crisis period, substantial current account imbalances showed up in euro- area
member countries. Large deficits in some catch-up countries as well as large surpluses in more
developed core countries of the euro area proved to be quite persistent, ie it was only after the
euro area was hit by the sovereign debt crisis and severe balance of payments problems that
major corrections in the current account imbalances occurred. From a theoretical point of
view, there is some evidence that in countries joining a monetary union the current account
adjustment mechanism is, indeed, slower and more delayed compared to economies that
belong to other exchange rate regimes, as the single monetary policy goes hand in hand with
strong interest rate convergence.
This paper evaluates current account dynamics in countries with different exchange rate
regimes by explicitly differentiating between c
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