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Audience Costs An Historical Analysis.doc
Audience Costs: An Historical Analysis
Marc Trachtenberg
Department of Political Science
University of California at Los Angeles
October 4, 2011
It used to be taken for granted that relative power and relative interest were of fundamental importance in determining how international crises run their course—that the weak would defer to the strong and the side that cared less about the issues at stake would tend to give way in the dispute. But in an important article published in 1994, James Fearon argued that in a rational world relative power and relative interest and indeed anything obser
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