冷却水污垢热阻预测的支持向量机法动态模拟实验研究.pdfVIP

第 30 卷 第 11 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.30 No.11 Apr.15, 2010 92 2010 年 4 月 15 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2010 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 0258-8013 (2010) 11-0092-06 TK 124 A 470 20 文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标志码： 学科分类号： ⋅ 冷却水污垢热阻预测的 支持向量机法动态模拟实验研究 赵波，杨善让，刘范，胡艳平，曹生现，门洪，徐志明 ( 东北电力大学节能与测控技术研究中心，吉林省 吉林市 132012) Experimental Study on Dynamic Simulation of Cooling Water Fouling Resistance Prediction by Support Vector Machine ZHAO Bo, YANG Shan-rang, LIU Fan, HU Yan-ping, CAO Sheng-xian, MEN Hong, XU Zhi-ming (Energy Conservation Measure-Control Center, Northeast Dianli University, Jilin 132012, Jilin Province, China) ABSTRACT: A new method of dynamic analog test of cooling 摘要：利用天然水通过管壳式模拟换热器来动态模拟冷却水 water fouling resistance for shell-tube heat exchanger was 系统的流动传热和污垢形成过程，实验中恒定壁面材料、加 presented. The test conditions are as follows: the tube material 工方式和流速、水温等运行参数，突出研究水质参数对污垢 and process are identical, the water temperature and flow rate 形成的影响。文中基于污垢形成机制的初步认识，定性分析 both are constant. Under these conditions the main water 了硬度(钙、镁离子) 、碱度、pH 值、溶解氧、浊度、铁离 quality factors how to affect the fouling properties were studied 子浓度等水质因素对污垢形成的影响，将其和时间作为输入 emphatically. According to the magnitude of the effect of total 量，污垢热阻作为输出变量，建立基于支持向量机的冷却水 hardness, alkalinity, pH, dissolved oxygen, turbidity Fe3+and on 污垢热阻预测模型，并以另一运行周期数据检验模型预测精 the fouling resistance, this paper selected these water quality 度，计及实验系统的不确定度，平均误差为 8.874%；与美 factors and time as the input variable, took the fouling 国管壳式换热器制造商协会(Tubular Heat Exchanger resistance as the output variable,