兰江流域气候和水文模拟的研究.pdfVIP

057766 19/ 2008/ 66( 3)032028 Acta Meteorologica Sinica 1 2 3, 4 王守荣 康丽莉 石 英 1 2 3, 4 WA NG Shourong KA NG Lili SHI Y ing 1. , , 100081 2. , , 3100 17 3. , , 100081 4. , , 100081 1. China Meteorological Administration, Beij ing 100081, China 2. Zhej iang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou 3100 17, China 3. National Climate Center , Beij ing 100081, China 4. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beij ing 100081, China 2007062 1 ,. Wang Shourong, KangLili, Shi Ying. 2008. A study on climatic and hydrological modeling in Lanjiang basin. A cta Meteorolog ica Sinica, 66( 3) : 320 328 Abstract A clim tic nd hydrologic l nesting model system w s est blished to simul te the clim te nd hy drology conditions under t he SRES A2 scen rio nd ssess imp cts of clim te ch nge on w ter resources in the L nji ng b sin. Tw o sets of 30ye r integr l ex periments i. e. the control experiment nd the future predict ion experiment, were conducted in the E stern Chin by using t he 20 km high resolution region l clim te model RegCM3 coupling w ith the tmosphere p rt of glob l clim te model FvGCM . The results of the control experiment from 196 1 to 1990 indic te th t both the simul ted nnu l ver ged temper ture nd precipit tion in Zheji ng province h ve dist inct topogr phic ch r cters nd gree with the observ tions since t he det iled topogr phy of Zheji ng province is in corpor ted into the high resolution RegCM3. T he simul ted nnu l ver ged temper ture of L nji ng b sin is quite consistent w ith the obs