中国水灾社会脆弱性评估方法的改进与应用――以长沙地区为例.pdfVIP

14 6 Vo.l 14, No. 6 2005 12 JOURNAL OF NATURAL D ISASTERS Dec. , 2005 : 100445 4( 2005) 1, 2 1, 2 1, 2 1, 2 葛 怡 , 史培军 , 刘 婧 , 叶 涛 ( 1. , 1008 5; 2. , 1008 5) : , , , , H oovering , , 1980 2000, 2002 5 4, , : ; ; ; ; : P426. 616 : A Improvem ent and application of vulnerability assessm entm ethodology for flood hazards in China: using Changsha Prefecture as a case study 1, 2 1, 2 1, 2 1, 2 GE Y i , SH I Peijun , LIU Jing , YE Tao ( 1. Institute of D isaster and Public Security, College of Resources Science and Technology, Beijing Norm alU niversity, Beijing 1008 5, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Env ironm entalChange and NaturalD isaster, M inistry of Education of China, Beijing Norm alUniversity, Beijing 1008 5, China) Abstract: Ch ina is exposed to a w ide range of natural hazards, including earthquake, flood, drought, and so on. The occurrence ofhazards is not a phenomenon of recent tmi e; how ever, understand ing vulnerab ility, especially so cial vu lnerab ility, is a relatively recent trend. In order to prevent d isasters from happening, more attention shou ld be paid on this changeful literature. Th is paper focuses on social vu lnerab ility assessmen,t especially on construc ting a social vu lnerab ility index Isov. Based on Hoovering approach, amethodologyw ith factor analysis andmu ltiple regression analysis is proposed. By th is novel methodology, a set of socio