墨菲定律 - MBA智库百科.doc

墨菲定律 - MBA智库百科澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥 - MBA鏅哄簱鐧剧澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鍑鸿嚜 MBA鏅哄簱鐧剧(/)澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥锛圡urphys Law锛? 鐩綍 [闅愯棌] 1 澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥 2 澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐨勮捣婧? 3 澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐨勬渚? 4 澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐨勫惎绀? 5 澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐨勬紨鍖栫増鏈? 6 澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥搴旂敤鍒嗘瀽 6.1 妗堜緥涓€锛氫粠澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐪嬪畨鍏ㄧ鐞嗙殑璀︾ず鑱岃兘[1] 7 鍙傝€冩枃鐚?[缂栬緫]澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥銆€銆€鈥滃ⅷ鑿插畾寰嬧€濓紙Murphys Law锛変害绉拌帿闈炲畾寰嬨€佽帿闈炲畾鐞嗐€佹垨鎽╄彶瀹氱悊锛屾槸瑗挎柟涓栫晫甯哥敤鐨勪繗璇€傘€€銆€ 銆€銆€鈥滃ⅷ鑿插畾寰嬧€濓細浜嬫儏濡傛灉鏈夊彉鍧忕殑鍙兘锛屼笉绠¤繖绉嶅彲鑳芥€ф湁澶氬皬锛屽畠鎬讳細鍙戠敓銆傛瘮濡備綘琛ｈ閲屾湁涓ゆ妸閽ュ寵锛屼竴鎶婃槸浣犳埧闂寸殑锛屼竴鎶婃槸姹借溅鐨?濡傛灉浣犵幇鍦ㄦ兂鎷垮嚭杞﹂挜鍖欙紝浼氬彂鐢熶粈涔堬紵鏄殑锛屼綘寰€寰€鏄嬁鍑轰簡鎴块棿閽ュ寵銆?銆€銆€杩欏氨鏄憲鍚嶇殑鈥滃ⅷ鑿插畾寰嬧€濄€?[缂栬緫]澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐨勮捣婧?銆€銆€澧ㄨ彶鏄編鍥界埍寰峰崕鍏圭┖鍐涘熀鍦扮殑涓婂皦宸ョ▼甯堛€?949骞达紝浠栧拰浠栫殑涓婂徃鏂鏅皯鏍★紝鍦ㄤ竴娆＄伀绠噺閫熻秴閲嶈瘯楠屼腑锛屽洜浠櫒澶辩伒鍙戠敓浜嗕簨鏁呫€傚ⅷ鑿插彂鐜帮紝娴嬮噺浠〃琚竴涓妧鏈汉鍛樿鍙嶄簡銆傜敱姝わ紝浠栧緱鍑虹殑鏁欒鏄細濡傛灉鍋氭煇椤瑰伐浣滄湁澶氱鏂规硶锛岃€屽叾涓湁涓€绉嶆柟娉曞皢瀵艰嚧浜嬫晠锛岄偅涔堜竴瀹氭湁浜轰細鎸夎繖绉嶆柟娉曞幓鍋氥€?銆€銆€鎹㈢璇存硶锛氬亣瀹氫綘鎶婁竴鐗囧共闈㈠寘鎺夊湪鍦版涓婏紝杩欑墖闈㈠寘鐨勪袱闈㈠潎鍙兘鐫€鍦般€備絾鍋囧畾浣犳妸涓€鐗囦竴闈㈡秱鏈変竴灞傛灉閰辩殑闈㈠寘鎺夊湪鍦版涓婏紝甯稿父鏄甫鏈夋灉閰辩殑涓€闈㈣惤鍦ㄥ湴姣笂銆傚湪浜嬪悗鐨勪竴娆¤鑰呮嫑寰呬細涓婏紝鏂鏅皢鍏剁О涓衡€滃ⅷ鑿叉硶鍒欌€濓紝骞朵互鏋佷负绠€娲佺殑鏂瑰紡浣滀簡閲嶆柊琛ㄨ堪锛氬嚒浜嬪彲鑳藉嚭宀斿瓙锛屽氨涓€瀹氫細鍑哄矓瀛愩€傚ⅷ鑿叉硶鍒欏湪鎶€鏈晫涓嶈儷鑰岃蛋锛屽洜涓哄畠閬撳嚭浜嗕竴涓搧鐨勪簨瀹烇細鎶€鏈闄╄兘澶熺敱鍙兘鎬у彉涓虹獊鍙戞€х殑浜嬪疄銆?銆€銆€澧ㄨ彶瀹氬緥鐨勯€傜敤鑼冨洿闈炲父骞挎硾锛屽畠鎻ず浜嗕竴绉嶇嫭鐗圭殑绀句細鍙婅嚜鐒剁幇璞°€傚畠鐨勬瀬绔〃杩版槸锛氬鏋滃潖浜嬫湁鍙兘鍙戠敓锛屼笉绠¤繖绉嶅彲鑳芥€ф湁澶氬皬锛屽畠鎬讳細鍙戠敓锛屽苟閫犳垚鏈€澶у彲鑳界殑鐮村潖銆?銆€銆€鈥滃ⅷ鑿插畾寰嬧€濄€佲€滃笗閲戞．瀹氬緥鈥濆拰鈥滃郊寰峰師鐞嗏€濆苟绉颁负浜屽崄涓栫邯瑗挎柟鏂囧寲涓夊ぇ鍙戠幇銆?銆€銆€瑗挎柟鐨勨€滃ⅷ鑿插畾寰嬧€濓紙Murphys Law锛夋槸杩欐牱璇寸殑锛欰nything that can go wrong will go wrong. 锛氣€滃嚒浜嬪彧瑕佹湁鍙兘鍑洪敊锛岄偅灏变竴瀹氫細鍑洪敊銆傗€?銆€銆€鈥滃ⅷ鑿插畾寰嬧€濈殑鍘熻瘽鏄繖鏍疯鐨勶細If there are two or more ways to do something, and one of those ways can result in a catastrophe, then someone will do it.锛堝鏋滄湁涓ょ鎴栦袱绉嶄互涓婄殑閫夋嫨锛岃€屽叾涓竴绉嶅皢瀵艰嚧鐏鹃毦锛屽垯蹇呭畾鏈変汉浼氫綔鍑鸿繖绉嶉€夋嫨銆傦級 绠＄悊瀹氬緥 AL缁? 瀹夋叞鍓傛晥搴斿崲缁存柉瀹氱悊 闃垮皵宸村痉瀹氱悊钃濇柉鐧诲畾寰? 鏆楃妯″紡钃濇柉鐧诲師鍒? 闃垮皵甯冭幈鐗规硶鍒欏瀮鍦炬《鐞嗚 闃垮鏂壒鏈楁硶鍒欒摑鏌忔牸瀹氱悊 闃夸粈娉曞垯闆烽矋澶硶鍒? 鑹惧甯冩仼瀹氱悊鎳掕殏铓佹晥搴? 闃跨綏鐨勪笉鍙兘 瀹氱悊鐗㈤獨鏁堝簲 鑹惧痉鍗庡畾鐞嗘礇鍏嬪繝鍛? 鑹剧鍗＄敤浜烘硶鍒欐媺鍥惧皵瀹氬緥 闃夸鸡妫晥搴旈瞾灏兼仼瀹氬緥 鏆楃ず鏁堝簲鎷夐敮鏁堝簲 瀹夋嘲鏁堝簲M