交通运输能耗与碳排放测算评价方法及应用.docVIP

交通运输能耗与碳排放测算评价方法及应用 　　摘要：基于IPCC推荐方法，结合我国交通能耗统计基础，提出省级交通运输能耗与碳排放测算方法和特征性评价指标，对2005～2012年江苏省公路运输、水路运输（含港口）和城市客运领域的能耗与碳排放现状进行研究测算，分析能耗与碳排放总量、分能源品种与分运输方式的比例结构、能耗与碳排放强度等方面的特点，最后提出低碳交通运输发展需以降低能耗与碳排放强度为核心、以公路货运为突破重点、以优化综合运输结构和优先发展公共交通为战略导向、以发展清洁低碳能源为重要途径等政策启示。 　　关键词：交通运输;能耗强度;碳排放;测算方法;江苏 　　DOI：10.13956/j.ss.1001-8409.2015.01.30 　　中图分类号：F206;F224 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1001-8409（2015）01-0139-06 　　Calculation and Evaluation Methodology of Transport Energy 　　Consumption and Carbon Emission 　　――The Case of Jiangsu Province 　　OUYANG Bin1，2，FENG Zhen-hua2，LI Zhong-kui2，BI Qing-hua2，ZHOU Ai-yan2 　　（1.School of Management and Economics， Beijing Institute of Technology， Beijing 100181; 　　2.China Academy of Transportation Sciences， Beijing 100029） 　　Abstract：Using the methodology recommended by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change （IPCC）， based on transport energy consumption statistics in China， a practical calculation methodology and evaluation indicators of provincial transport energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission is proposed.The energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission of transport industry from 2005 to 2012 in Jiangsu Province were empirically calculated， and the main features were systematically analyzed， from the perspectives of the total amount of energy consumption and carbon emission， the proportional structure of various transport modes and energy types， and energy and carbon emission intensity.And finally， some policy implications of low-carbon transport development were conclusively put forward， including reducing the energy and carbon intensity as the focus， breaking through the highway freight transport as the key， optimizing transport structure and giving priority to urban public transport development as a strategic choice， developing clean and low-carbon energy as an important way. 　　Key words：transport;energy intensity;carbon emission;calculation methodology;Jiangsu province 　　1 问题的提出 　　交通运输是国民经济和社会发展的重要基础产业和服务性行业，2010年全球交通运输能耗总量为24.1