湖北省水田旱地空间特征及其梯度分布成因研究.docVIP

湖北省水田旱地空间特征及其梯度分布成因研究 摘要：为了分析湖北省耕地中主要水田和旱地的空间特征和分布成因，采用半变异函数和克吕格插值的方法分析水田旱地的空间分布特点，采用多元对数线性回归方法分析影响因素。结果表明，省内各县级行政单位的水田旱地具有明显的东西方向梯度分布特征;水田旱地结构指数由大到小的顺序为鄂东北低山丘陵区、鄂东南低山丘陵区、江汉平原区、鄂西高山区;多元对数线性回归模型显示，温度年较差、年均温、平均年降水、地形起伏度和人口密度是水田旱地梯度空间分布的主要因素，其中温度年较差、年均温、平均年降水和人口密度发挥正向作用，地形起伏度发挥负向作用。 关键词：水田旱地;半变异函数;克吕格插值;多元对数线性回归;空间特征;梯度分布 中图分类号：S17 文献标识码：A 文章编号：0439-8114（2014）20-4826-05 DOI：10.14088/ki.issn0439-8114.2014.20.014 Spatial Distribution of Paddy Field and Dryland Structure and Its Gradient Distribution Factors in Hubei Province XU Bei-shena，b， XU Lic （a. College of Law Management， b. Emergency Management Research Center， c. Department of Science Technology， China Three Gorges University， Yichang 443002， Hubei， China） Abstract： To study the spatial characteristics and factors influencing paddy field and dryland structure in Hubei province， semi-variable function and spatial interpolation was used to analyze the distribution characteristics of paddy field and dryland according to the data of each county in Hubei province. Multiple logarithm linear regression model was used to quantitatively estimate the key factors affecting the spatial distribution of paddy field and dryland. The results showed that the paddy field and dryland of each county in Hubei province had obvious gradient distribution characteristics from east to west direction. The index for paddy field and dryland structure decreased from low hill area in the northeast， low hill area in the southeast， Jianghan plain to high mountain area in the west of Hubei province. The multiple logarithm linear regression showed that annual range of temperature （ART）， mean annual temperature （MAT）， annual precipitation （AP）， terrain undulation （TU） and population density （PD） were the main factors affecting the spatial distribution of paddy field and dryland. The index for paddy field and dryland structure increased with annual range of temperature （ART）， mean annual temperature （MAT）， annual precipitation （AP） and populatio