武汉房地产经济周期波动分析.docVIP

武汉房地产经济周期波动分析 张海波 周立娟 摘要：本文从房地产经济周期的内涵入手，将区域房地产波动分解为长期趋势波动和循环波动两种不同的波动形态。结合武汉房地产业发展的实际情况，运用统计方法，对武汉房地产经济周期的波动进行实证分析，最后得出了武汉房地产周期性波动的曲线并对武汉市房地产业周期波动的特征进行了比较详细的分析。 关键词：房地产经济周期；长期波动趋势；因子分析 Analysis to Fluctuation of Real Estate Business Cycle of Wuhan Zhang Haibo ＆ Zhou Lijuan Abstract: The study in this paper begins with the meaning of the cycle of real estate, and then divides the fluctuation of real estate into two different ones:long-term trend and cycle.It makes a case study on the fiuctuation of Wuhan’s,and with the help of Statistical methods we can obtain the cycle curve.Lastl