Climate change adaptation and poverty reduction Key气候变化适应和减贫的关键.ppt

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Climate change adaptation and poverty reduction Key气候变化适应和减贫的关键.ppt

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27. April 2007 The challenge of climate change: How can the South adapt? ?pent seminar: Klima sett fra s?r18. September 2007 Siri Eriksen GECHS associate Department of Sociology and Human Geography University of Oslo Siri.eriksen@sgeo.uio.no I. The challenge of climate change Climate change poses serious threats and challenges Climate change interacts with many other types of changes Vulnerability to climate change is differential Indigenous strategies are insufficient to cope with the effects of climate change Societal transformations are altering the context for adapting to climate change 1. Climate change poses serious threats and challenges The example of Africa Annual mean rainfall decrease, especially central southern Africa Intense rainfall and flooding Agricultural decrease, large lake fisheries decline, water stress, sea level rise, spread of infectious diseases 2. Climate change interacts with many other types of changes The effects of climate change are particularly dramatic when they come on top of existing stresses Many other changes take place simultaneously with climate change Spread of infectious diseases Trade liberalisation Water reforms Political or social conflict These influence the capacity to respond to climate change Some individuals, households, social groups and regions in southern and eastern Africa are becoming more vulnerable Example conflict and climate change Localised conflicts in Kenyan drylands leading to loss of key assets exclusion from resources critical in adapting to drought trade undermined Unexeptional drought or heavy rainfall leading to widespread suffering 3. Vulnerability to climate change is differential Vulnerability to climate change varies greatly among regions, sectors and social groups (for example within eastern and southern Africa) For example, provision of services and access to alternative livelihoods may vary between and within villages Poverty and vulnerability are related but not synonymous Non-p