forecastingtotalhotelmotelroomrevenuesinasmall（24页）.docVIP

No Room at the Inn? Forecasting Hotel-Motel Revenues for a Local Area by James A. Kurre and Barry R. Weller School of Business Penn State University, Erie 5091 Station Road Erie, PA 16563-1400 (814) 898-6266 (814) 898-6326 k12@ brw@ Presented at the 22nd International Symposium on Forecasting Trinity College, Dublin Ireland June 23-26, 2002 Abstract This paper documents the creation of a model to forecast hotel-motel revenues for a small metropolitan area (Erie, Pennsylvania) in the northeastern United States. It discusses data problems facing an area with a new ta