f o r e c a s t o f a t l a n t i c h u r r i c a n e a c t i v i t y f o r o c t o b e r2005 a n d（f o r e c a s t o f a t l a n t i c h u r r i c a n e a c t i v i t y f o r o c t o b e r2005 a n d）.docVIP

FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FOR OCTOBER-NOVEMBER 2006 AND SEASONAL UPDATE THROUGH SEPTEMBER We have experienced average hurricane activity through September. August was inactive, but September had above-average activity. We expect October to have below-average activity largely due to developing El Ni?o conditions in the central and eastern Pacific. November activity in El Ni?o years is very rare. (as of 3 October 2006) By Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray with special assistance from William Thorson This forecast as well as past forecasts and verificatio