c h i c a n s c e n a r i o- universityof edinburgh（c h i c n s c e n r i o -爱丁堡大学）（14页）.docVIP

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c h i c a n s c e n a r i o- universityof edinburgh（c h i c n s c e n r i o -爱丁堡大学）（14页）.doc

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CHICAN SCENARIO PAGE 1 PAGE 2 CHICAN SCENARIO (as of 4 Sep 98) “Peer Competitor Campaign” Appendix C Intelligence Estimate UNCLASSIFIED USSPACECOM J2 Peterson AFB, CO 1 October 1998/1200 MST INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE NUMBER—JWID 002 REFERENCES: a. NIMA maps The Military Balance 1997/8; IISS. East Asian Security, MIT Press. 1. Mission. Keep ASEAN nations independent and sovereign. Adversary Situation. The extraordinary rates of economic growth and the high degree of economic interdependence are changing both the structure of security relations and the tendencies for creating conflict or peace in the region. The fast pace of economic growth in the ASEAN region has made foreign investment very popular. Economic vitality for the region is dependent upon relatively long and vulnerable Sea Lines of Communication (SLOCs). The security environment of this region is essentially maritime. In terms of shipping movements, it is one of the busiest in the world. non-state adversaries (pirates) are starting to become a focus of concern to nations dependent on trade through the SLOCs. In addition, the Information Age is redefining the role of nations in an international arena. In the Pacific region, the leading powers are becoming more aware of the information media and its potential. Military power projections are still primarily accomplished through ground, naval and air operations. However, the space medium with its linkages to Information Operations (IO) is creating new standards for power projection. All nations in this region are participatory to the Global Information Infrastructure (GII). Acquisition and deployment of more advanced weapon systems as well as a major effort to realign forces and strategy to evolving IO principals and doctrine are underway. CHICAN’s national objectives include comprehensive modernization of the country, particularly with the armed forces. CHICAN is a peer competitor with the US in terms of military power p