thecycloneseason2006-2007inthesouth-westindianocean（5页）.docVIP

WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION COMMISSION FOR BASIC SYSTEMSOPAG on DPFS Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) - Southern Africa, Meeting of the Regional Technical Implementation Team PRETORIA – SOUTH AFRICA – 24-27 FEB. 2009 CBS-DPFS/SWFDP-RTIT/Doc. 5.2(1) (16.II.2009) _______ Agenda item : 5 ENGLISH ONLY The cyclone season 2008-2009 in the South-West Indian Ocean : the situation on mid-February 2009 (Submitted by RSMC La Réuion) Summary and purpose of document This document provides information on the current and 2007-2008 tropical cyclone seasons of the South-west Indian Ocean. Action Proposed The meeting is invited to review the information relative to forecasting severe weather in the southern Africa region. The cyclone season 2008-2009 in the South-West Indian Ocean : the situation on mid-February 2009 While the first half of the season is now over, seven named systems have developed so far, which is slightly above average. The season has started on the same basis and at the same pace than the previous 2007-2008 season but is lagging now two storms behind it at the same period though. Analogously, first classification as a tropical cyclone had to wait until the sixth named system of the season (FANELE) but one week earlier than last year however (with FAME). The table below indicate the period of activity of these different systems (respectively referenced 2 to 8 on the map of trajectories at the bottom of the page). System ASMA BERNARD CINDA DONGO ERIC FANELE GAEL Storm type Moderate Tropical Storm Moderate Tropical Storm Severe Tropical Storm Severe Tropical Storm Moderate Tropical Storm Intense Tropical Cyclone Intense Tropical Cyclone Period of activity 16/10 – 24/10 2008 19/11 – 21/11 2008 13/12 – 22/12 2008 07/01 – 14/01 2009 17/01 – 22/01 2009 18/01 – 23/01 2009 01/02 – 11/02 2009 As seen on the map below, 5 cyclogeneses out of 7 have occurred within the main develo