Testing the SuperGreenhouse Thermostat with EOS 与EOS的超级温室恒温测试.pptVIP

Testing the Super-Greenhouse Thermostat with EOS observations Dan Feldman YLY Sunday meeting 10/30/05 The Super Greenhouse Effect First proposed by Collins and Ramanathan, 1991 Feedback relationship between warm SSTs and production of anvil cirrus leads to thermostat Used ERBE data for 1987 El Nino year 0.2-50 um band 0.2-5 um band 5-50 um band Proposed an upper limit to SSTs as governed by this mechanism. Super Greenhouse Knowns Tropical SSTs are stable H2O greenhouse effect increases rapidly for SST300 K Warm SSTs associated with increased convection Anvil cirrus efficiently reflect SW radiation, and detrained evaporation humidifies upper troposphere Super Greenhouse Unknowns Can tropical dynamics explain SST stability? Are other mechanisms of poleward heat transport able to explain SST observations Is the radiative impact of anvil cirrus a strong and local function of SSTs 300 K leading to a stable negative feedback? Observations of Cirrus Character From ISCCP data Modeling Efforts Hartmann et al propose Fixed Anvil Temperature from: Clausius-Clapeyron definition of saturation vapor pressure dependence on temperature. Dependence of emissivity of rotational lines of water vapor on vapor pressure. EOS observations MLS sensitive to UT H2O and Cloud IWC Observations of MLS tend to support Super Greenhouse Hypothesis. AQUA can detect the following at 45 km spatial resolution: UT H2O (from AIRS standard product) Cloud cover cloud top temperature (from AIRS standard product) SST (from AIRS standard product) Night-time cirrus for OD0.1 (from AIRS, Kahn et al, 2003) Shortwave Albedo (from CERES) With these products, detailed radiative forcing calculations may be able to address the causal or correlative relationship between anvil cirrus and warm SSTs. * From Collins and Ramanathan, 1991 From Collins and Ramanathan, 1991 From Wallace, 1991 From Fu et al, 1992 *