全国GDP的统计分析大学本科毕业论文.docVIP

编号 论文 题目： 理 学院 专业 学 号 学生姓名 指导教师 二〇一三年月 摘 要 在经济学中，常用GDP和GNI（国民总收入，gross national Income）共同来衡量该国或地区的经济发展综合水平通用的指标。这也是目前各个国家和地区常采用的衡量手段。GD反映的是国民经济各部门的增加值的总额它被认为是衡量国民经济发展情况最重要的一个指标是宏观经济中最受关注的经济统计数字分析这些变量利用，确定最佳模型分析经济增长的内在特征并对我国经济发展做出预测关键词：ABSTRACT The GDP and GNI (gross national Income, gross national Income) is commonly used to measure the country or regions economic development level of comprehensive index in economics. This is the measure that various countries and regions often adopt. GDP reflects the total amount of the added value of national economic sectors, it is regarded as a measure of national economic development and is one of the most important indicators and the most closely foucused economic macroeconomic statistics. For over 30 years’ reform and opening up policy, Chinas GDP average annual growth rate reached 9.8%.This phenomenon is known as Chinas economic miracle. Combined with GDP growth slowing down, we begin to worry Chinas rapid economic development began to fade away, and will never exist. China, however, an enormous market which is hard to match by other economies,wether we can continue to maintain such rapid growth in the future, there are different points of view in the society. This paper refered to the ‘China statistical yearbook’, obtained the GDP and the data of several factors affect the GDP from 1995 to 2012.We set the GDP as the dependent variable, the population, investment in fixed assets, trade along the poor (inverse), national fiscal spending, residents consumption level as independent variable, using the multivariate regression analysis, analysis of the influence of these variables on Chinas GDP. Using MATLAB statistic test, the optimum model. Second, because of time series analysis can reveal the development of a phenomenon from the number change rule or describe a particular phenomenon from the perspective