并网光伏电站置信容量评估.pdfVIP

第 36 卷第 9 期 2012 年 9 月 电网技术 Power System Technology Vol. 36No. 9 Sep.2012 文章编号: 1000-3673 (2012) 09-0031-05 中图分类号: TM72 文献标志码:A 学科代码: 470.4051 并网光伏电站置信容量评估 方鑫，郭强，张东霞，梁双 (中国电力科学研究院，北京市海淀区 100192 ) Capacity Credit Evaluation of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Generation FANG Xin, GUO Qiang, ZHANG Dongxia, LIANG Shuang (China Elec位ic Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100192, China) ABSTRACT: To evaluate the capacity credit of photovoltaic (PV) generation is one of urgent problems to be considered when large-scale PV station is connected to traditional power grid. The capacity credit of PV generation is evaluated by the generation capacity that could be reduced in 位aditional power grid .after the grid-connection of PV station. For 也is p四pose， a new method for evaluating the capacity credit of PV generation is proposed. Firstly, an annual output fluctuating model of PV generation, in which the occurrence probabilities of different weather typ邸， the maximum proportions of solar radiation under various whether conditions, the fluctuation radiation range due to clouds mask and the temperature coefficient random variation range are taken into account, is built; secondly, based on sequential Monte-Carlo simulation, a methodωcalc由能 generation reliability of power grid is put forward and its 01加ctive function is established based on the 1088 of load expectation (LOLE) before 阻d after the grid-connection of PV station, and then the p缸ticle 8W缸m optimization is utilized to search optimal combination of traditional generation sets to make the generation reliability level of power grid co帅rming with that before the grid-connection of PV station. Bo吐1 correctness and effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm 缸e verified by simulation results ofIEEE-RTS79 system .. KEY WORDS: photovoltaic (PV);ωpacity crediζgeneration reliability; s叫uential Monte-Carlo; 归rticle swarm optimization 摘要z衡量光伏发电的置信容量是大规模光伏电站接入电网 时需要考虑的问题之→。以光伏发电接入后系统可以