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Probabilistic analysis of multi-site damage in aircraft fuselages.pdf

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Probabilistic analysis of multi-site damage in aircraft fuselages

LEOPOLD-FRANZENS UNIVERSITY Chair of Engineering Mechanics o. Univ.-Prof. Dr.-Ing.habil. G.I. Schue?ller, Ph.D. G.I.Schueller@uibk.ac.at Technikerstrasse 13, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria, EU Tel.: +43 512 507 6841 Fax.: +43 512 507 2905 mechanik@uibk.ac.at, http://mechanik.uibk.ac.at IfM-Publication 2-333 C. Proppe, G. I. Schue?ller, and G. Bertrand. Probabilistic analysis of multi-site damage in aging aircrafts. In R. Corotis, G. I. Schue?ller, and M. Shinozuka, editors, Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability (ICOSSAR’01), Newport Beach, CA, June 17-21 (2001) 2001. Swets Zeitlinger, Lisse, CDRom. Probabilistic analysis of multi-site damage in aging aircrafts C. Proppe G.I. Schue?ller Institute of Engineering Mechanics, Leopold-Franzens University, Innsbruck, Austria G. Bertrand DaimlerChrysler Aerospace Airbus, Hamburg, Germany Keywords: probabilistic lifetime prediction, multi-site damage, widespread fatigue damage ABSTRACT: Most aircraft fleets nowadays are operating under the concept of damage tolerance, which requires an aircraft to have sufficient residual strength in the presence of damage in one of its principal structural elements (PSE) during the interval of service inspections. The residual strength however is significantly reduced due to multi site damage (MSD). In the present paper, a probabilistic framework for the calculation of the failure probability is set up. The MSD problem of a PSE is considered, where crack initiation and crack growth as well as yield stress and fracture toughness are described by random variables. The crack growth calculations are carried out by means of the finite element alternating method (Park and Atluri 1998), which avoids a remeshing of the finite element problem. After specifying link up and failure criteria, importance sampling is employed to obtain the probability of failure of the PSE due to MSD. 1 INTRODUCTION Today’s highly competitive environment in the commercial air t