城市社区灾害减除能力多层次灰色评估系统城市社区灾害减除能力多层次灰色评估系统.pdf

科技导报 2011，29（07） 研究论文（Articles） 城市社区灾害减除能力多层次灰色评估 系统 吴晓涛 1，2 1. 河南理工大学应急管理学院，河南焦作 454000 2. 河南省应急管理技术研究与培训基地，河南焦作 454000 摘要 构建了应急管理视角下的中国城市社区灾害减除能力评估体系，包括 6 个 1 级指标和 25 个 2 级指标，并综合运用层次分 析法和灰色系统理论，建立了多层次灰色评估模型，用以定量评估城市社区灾害减除能力。 根据建立的模型，结合河南省焦作市龙 源湖社区进行实例计算表明，该社区灾害减除能力处于良好与中等之间，需要强化灾害减除在社区应急管理全过程的各项工作。 综合评估模型为提升城市社区灾害减除能力评估的科学性提供了有益参考。 关键词 城市社区；灾害减除；能力评估；多层次灰色评估；白化权函数 中图分类号 X913.4 文献标识码 A doi 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2011.07.013 Multi-hierarchical Grey Evaluation System for Urban Community Disaster Mitigation Capability WU Xiaotao1, 2 1. School of Emergency Management, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454000, Henan Province, China 2. Emergency Management Technology and Training Base in Henan Province, Jiaozuo 454000, Henan Province, China Abstract In the recent years, emergencies happen frequently in China, therefore the research on emergency management has been paid more attention by many scholars. The emergency management process is divided into four periods which are mitigation, preparation, replying, and resuming based on classic emergency management cycle theory. The concept of disaster mitigation capability is systematic, comprehensive, and theoretical; as a result, deep study on it has a high theoretical value. The related literature study shows that there are few systemic researches aiming at emergency mitigation capability of urban communities. Based on the present developing process and emergency features of urban communities, building and applying the evaluation system for urban communities disaster mitigation capability has the important theoretical and practical value to the safety of urban communities and the consistent development of society. The evaluation system builds on three parts of theories; they are emer