第一章_计量经济学.pptVIP

计量经济学 Econometrics;第一章 绪论;1.1 什么是计量经济学？;○绪论是课程的纲。 ○学好绪论，可以说学好了课程的一半。参观一个城市，先站在最高处俯瞰，然后走街串巷；了解一座建筑，先看模型，后走进每一个房间。各起一半作用。 ○绪论课的目的：了解课程的性质和在课程体系中的地位；了解课程完整的内容体系和将要讲授的内容；了解课程的重点和难点；了解课程的学习方法；介绍课程中不讲的但是必须了解的课程内容。 ○不必全懂，只需解决似懂非懂的知识。;计量经济学与相关学科的联系与区别;计量经济学与相关学科的联系与区别;计量经济学与相关学科的联系与区别;数学;△ 在经济学科中占据极重要的地位 克莱因（R.Klein）：“计量经济学已经在经济学科中居于最重要的地位”，“在大多数大学和学院中，计量经济学的讲授已经成为经济学课程表中最有权威的一部分”。 萨缪尔森（P.Samuelson） ：“第二次大战后的经济学是计量经济学的时代”。 ;53位获奖者中10位直接因为对计量经济学发展的贡献而获奖 1969 R. Frish J. Tinbergen 1973 W. Leotief 1980 L. R. Klein 1984 R. Stone 1989 T. Haavelmo 2000 J. J. Heckman D. L. McFadden 2003 R. F. EngleC. W. J. Granger 近20位担任过世界计量经济学会会长 30余位左右在获奖成果中应用了计量经济学;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1969 for having developed and applied dynamic models for the analysis of economic processes;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1973 for the development of the input-output method and for its application to important economic problems;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1980 for the creation of econometric models and the application to the analysis of economic fluctuations and economic policies;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1984 for having made fundamental contributions to the development of systems of national accounts and hence greatly improved the basis for empirical economic analysis;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1989 for his clarification of the probability theory foundations of econometrics and his analyses of simultaneous economic structures;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2000 for his development of theory and methods for analyzing selective samples”;The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences inMemory of Alfred Nobel 2003 for met