Distribution of hepatitis B infection among the crowd of mathematical simulation.docVIP

 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 11 Distribution of hepatitis B infection among the crowd of mathematical simulation 【Key Words】 crowd Modern medicine, by revealing the amount of disease, the relationship between the various factors to achieve a qualitative description of the disease from the general development of the quantitative research is to look for and the establishment of mathematical models describing the main laws, one of the important objectives, we can achieve the simulation, prediction and inspection purposes. The assumption that groups of all ages, hepatitis B infection rate of infectious diseases with the same conditions, the logistic function in this study, based on the principle and analysis of the process of hepatitis B infection, through the distribution of the disease in the population study of the actual situation and put forward different models, attempt to hepatitis B in the population the number of infections at different times and different age distribution of infection in the number of paper proposes a simulation method to reach the actual decision-making have some effect. 1 Principles and Methods logistic function is to observe the value of the probability of an event has occurred and the relationship between the statistical model generally applies to a number of symptoms of the disease through some sort of indicators to predict the severity of the disease. However, after practice, data analysis, we found that logistic function in the prediction and simulation of a number of time-related laws in the incidence of frequently-occurring disease, its effectiveness is also very obvious. Hepatitis B is a common one of the diseases, according to the actual data has been obtained, the establishment of hepatitis B occurred in a mathematical model to simulate the occurrence and distribution of an area to reduce the uncertainty of future projections is the use of simulation methods is an important aspects. After the study, we propose