Fantasy 2013.docVIP

 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 16 Fantasy 2013 Do you remember that the story of the Indians of Peru do? When they saw the ship of the Spanish invaders appeared on the horizon, they believe that climate changes dramatically, and then continue to sing to worship the king corn because of limited experience in this nation where there is no boat concept. Since it is assumed everything changes are continuous, they are not suited to the things that turn a blind eye, the result so that disaster comes easily. Behavioral economics research has confirmed that most people do not know precisely in the face of the future around the world, is not always rational. They tend to tunnel vision, and limited by past experience and available information, restrictions, often deviate from the optimal set of economics behavior patterns. This blind and bigotry in people’s views on the future of China’s apparent. Optimists believe that this country will in the next 10-15 years, continued to maintain GDP7-8% growth over and become the second largest after the United States economy. The idea of ‘China collapse theory’ and people think that the government is unable to resolve the financial crisis, the three major state-owned enterprises and unemployment problems, China will soon be plunged into an abyss. Clearly, any rational business decisions can not follow such extreme predictions. And the key is not that better or worse, but whether we anticipate a future possible, and probably do a good job for each of the preparations. Please note that past success is not arbitrary reasons. For China, have invested themselves and their opponents are hundreds of millions or even billions of billions of dollars in resources, where the world’s fastest growing market and manufacturing center, without a clear strategy of its own, then your company will become another strategy a part of. Fortunately, we do not ‘Mangrenmoxiang’. Over the past 40 years, management scholars, one of the most important outcomes is