Contrasting trends in hydrologic extremes for two sub-arctic catchments in northern Sweden does glacier melt matter.docVIP

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Contrasting trends in hydrologic extremes for two sub-arctic catchments in northern Sweden does glacier melt matter.doc

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Contrasting trends in hydrologic extremes for two sub-arctic catchments in northern Sweden does glacier melt matter

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,9,1041–1084,2012 /9/1041/2012/ doi:10.5194/hessd-9-1041-2012 Hydrology and EarthSystem Sciences HESSD ?Author(s)2012.CCAttribution3.0License. Discussions 9,1041–1084,2012 Thisdiscussionpaperis/hasbeenunderreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarthSystem Sciences(HESS).Pleaserefertothecorresponding?nalpaperinHESSifavailable. Doesglaciermelt matter? H.E.Dahlkeetal. Contrastingtrendsinhydrologicextremes fortwosub-arcticcatchmentsinnorthern Sweden–doesglaciermeltmatter? TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures H.E.Dahlke ,S.W.Lyon ,J.R.Stedinger ,G.Rosqvist ,andP.Jansson1 1DepartmentofPhysicalGeographyandQuaternaryGeology,StockholmUniversity, 10691Stockholm,Sweden 1 1 2 1 J J I I 2 SchoolofCivilandEnvironmentalEngineering,CornellUniversity,Ithaca, NY14853-3501,USA Back Close Received:20December2011–Accepted:9January2012–Published:19January2012 Correspondenceto:H.E.Dahlke(helen.dahlke@natgeo.su.se) FullScreen/Esc PublishedbyCopernicusPublicationsonbehalfoftheEuropeanGeosciencesUnion. Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion 1041 Abstract HESSD It is not clear how climatic change will in?uence glacial meltwater rates and terres- trial hydrology in the Sub-Arctic and Arctic. This uncertainty is particularly acute for hydrologicextremes(?oodevents)becauseunderstandingthefrequencyofsuchun- usualeventsrequireslongrecordsofobservationnotoftenavailablefortheArcticand Sub-Arctic. Thisstudypresentsastatisticalanalysisoftrendsinthemagnitudeand timingofhydrologicextremes(?oodevents)andthemeansummerdischargeintwo sub-arctic catchments, Tarfalajokk and Abiskojokk, in northern Sweden. The catch- mentshavedi?erentglaciercovers(30%and1%, respectively). Statisticallysigni?- 9,1041–1084,2012 Doesglaciermelt matter? 5 H.E.Dahlkeetal. 10 canttrends(atthe5%level)wereidenti?edforbothcatchmentsonanannualandon aseasonalscale(3-monthsaverages)usingtheMann-Kendalltrendtest. Stationarity of?oodrecordswastestedbyanalyzingtren