船体结构检测及维修规划的成本-效益评估.pdfVIP

上海交通大学学报 Vo l. 39 No. 5 第 39 卷第5 期 2005 年 5 月 ]OURNAL OF SHANGHAI ]lAOTONG UNIVERSITY May 2005 文章编号:1006-2467(2005)05-0665-05 船体结构检测及维修规划的成本一效益评估 李典庆， 唐文勇， 张圣坤 (上海交通大学船舶海洋与建筑工程学院，上海 200030) 摘 要:建立了基于风险的船体结构腐蚀优化检测及维修规划的成本-效益分析模型.最优的检测 及维修策略是在保证结构在设计工作寿命期内的可靠指标大于最低可靠指标的基础上，使得结构 生命周期内总的费效比最大.在此基础上，以受腐蚀损伤的船体构件为例，对其检测及维修策略进 行了成本-效益评估，并进行了敏感性分析.结果表明，基于风险的成本-效益分析方法可以将检测 及维修规划的经济性和可靠性有效地结合起来，能够在风险与成本之间达到一种平衡，它在优化检 测及确定维修策略时是有效的. 关键词:船体结构;检测及维修;成本-效益;腐蚀模型 中图分类号: U 66 1. 4 文献标识码:A The Cost-Benefit Assessment of Inspection and Repair Planning for Ship Structures LI Dian-qing , TANG Wen-yong , ZHANG Sheng-kun CSchool of Naval Architecture , Ocean and Civil Eng. , Shanghai ]iaotong Univ. , Shanghai 200030 , China) Abstract: A cost-benefit model of risk based optimal inspection and repair planning was proposed for the ship structures subjected to corrosion deterioration. The planning problem was formulated as an optimiza tion problem where the total benefit-cost ratio in the expected lifetime was maximized with a constraint on the minimum acceptable reliability index. Based on them , a component was investigated to illustrate the process of the cost-benefit assessment for selecting the optimal inspection and repair strategy. Some sensi tivity studies were provided. The results show that the proposed method of risk based cost-benefit analysis can effectively integrate the economy with reliability of the inspection and repair planning. A balance can be achieved between the risk cost and total expected inspection and repair costs by using the proposed method , which is very ef