Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in North Shewa, Ethiopia英文文献资料.docVIP

Vol.3, No.6, 871-888 (2012) Agricultural Sciences /10.4236/as.2012.36106 Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in North Shewa, Ethiopia Gutu Tesso , Bezabih Emana , Mengistu Ketema 1* 2 1 1 * 2 College of Agriculture, School of Agricultural Economics and Agricultural Business, Haramaya University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia; Corresponding Author: gutessoo@ HEZBEZ Business and Consultancy PLC, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Received 4 August 2012; revised 30 August 2012; accepted 10 September 2012 ABSTRACT change are heterogeneous across a diverse range of geo- political scales. For instance, the risk is generally be- lieved to be more acute in developing countries because they rely heavily on climate-sensitive sectors, such as agriculture and fisheries, and have low gross domestic products, high level of poverty, low level of education, and limited human, institutional, economic, technical, and financial capacities as cited in [1-3]. Vulnerability of countries and societies to the effects of climate change depends not only on the magnitude of climatic stress but also on the sensitivity and capacity of affected societies to adapt to or cope with such stress. Therefore, vulner- ability is the degree to which a system is susceptible or unable to cope with the adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes. In this regard, vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate variation to which a system is ex- posed, its sensitivity, and its adaptive capacity [4]. A number of climate change impact studies have been conducted in many countries on specific sectors such as water resources, agriculture, health, coastal zones, and forestry by using impact models and to a lesser extent socioeconomic analyses [5-7]. Global re