Confidence Level Estimator of Cosmological Parameters英文文献资料.docVIP

Journal of Modern Physics, 2012, 3, 1216-1222 /10.4236/jmp.2012.329157 Published Online September 2012 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/jmp) Confidence Level Estimator of Cosmological Parameters G. Sironi Physics Department, University of Milano Bicocca, Milano, Italy Email: giorgio.sironi@unimib.it Received June 21, 2012; revised July 24, 2012; accepted July 31, 2012 ABSTRACT Cosmological Models frequently suggest the existence of physical, quantities, e.g. dark energy, we cannot yet observe and measure directly. Their values are obtained indirectly setting them equal to values and accuracy of the associated model parameters which best fit model and observation. Apparently results are so accurate that some researchers speak of precision cosmology. The accuracy attributed to these indirect values of the physical quantities however does not include the uncertainty of the model used to get them. We suggest a Confidence Level Estimator to be attached to these indirect measurements and apply it to current cosmological models. Keywords: Cosmological Models; Cosmological Parameters 1. Introduction ated to direct and indirect measurements of observables, then introduce an estimator (Confidence Level Estimator) to quantify the confidence we can attach to indirect measurements. We then briefly review present day most common Cosmological Models and apply to their pa- rameters and observables our Confidence Level Estima- tor. Models of physical systems, including Cosmological Models, contain a number of free parameters associated to an equal number of measurable, independent, physical quantities (“observable” in the following) which charac- terize the system. Comparing measured values of the observables and allowed values of the parameters one can test a model, i.e. validate, improve or falsify it [1]. When a model introduces new parameters associated to observables previously ignored or never