Can Genetic Estimators Provide Robust Estimates of the Effective Number of Breeders in Small Populations 英文参考文献.docVIP

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Can Genetic Estimators Provide Robust Estimates of the Effective Number of Breeders in Small Populations 英文参考文献.doc

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Can Genetic Estimators Provide Robust Estimates of the Effective Number of Breeders in Small Populations 英文参考文献

CanGeneticEstimatorsProvideRobustEstimatesofthe EffectiveNumberofBreedersinSmallPopulations? MarionHoehn1,2*¤,BerndGruber1,2,StephenD.Sarre2,RebeccaLange1,KlausHenle1 1UFZ -HelmholtzCentreforEnvironmentalResearch,DepartmentofConservation Biology, Leipzig,Germany, 2Institute forApplied Ecology, University ofCanberra, Bruce,AustralianCapitalTerritory,Australia Abstract Theeffectivepopulationsize(Ne)isproportionaltothelossofgeneticdiversityandtherateofinbreeding,anditsaccurate estimation is crucial for the monitoring of small populations. Here, we integrate temporal studies of the gecko Oedura reticulata,tocomparegeneticanddemographicestimatorsofNe.Becausegeckoshaveoverlappinggenerations,ourgoal was to demographically estimate NbI, the inbreeding effective number of breeders and to calculate the NbI/Na ratio (Na=number of adults) for four populations. Demographically estimated NbI ranged from 1 to 65 individuals. The mean reductionintheeffectivenumberofbreedersrelativetocensussize(NbI/Na)was0.1to1.1.Weidentifiedthevariancein reproductive success as the most important variable contributing to reduction of this ratio. We used four methods to estimate the genetic based inbreeding effective number of breeders NbI(gen) and the variance effective populations size NeV(gen)estimatesfromthegenotypedata.Twoofthesemethods-atemporalmoment-based(MBT)andalikelihood-based approach (TM3) require at least two samples in time, while the other two were single-sample estimators - the linkage disequilibrium method with bias correction LDNe and the program ONeSAMP. The genetic based estimates were fairly similaracrossmethodsandalsosimilartothedemographicestimatesexcludingthoseestimates,inwhichupperconfidence interval boundaries were uninformative. For example, LDNe and ONeSAMP estimates ranged from 14–55 and 24–48 individuals,respectively.However,temporalmethodssufferedfromalargevariationinconfidenceintervalsandconcerns aboutthepriorinformation.Weconcludethatthesingle-sampleestimato