20150620凯文凯利未来20年商业趋势与中国机遇主题演讲全文@广州....pptxVIP

The next 20 yearsBusiness trends and opportunities in China;1800 – Hi Tech 高科技;First Steamship 第一艘轮船;Small, short, expensive, unreliable 又小，又短，又贵，还不靠谱;Up river 但它能溯河而上;;1946 ;Cadillac;Relentless improvement;Relentless improvement;DISRUPTIVETECHNOLOGIES;Low QualityHigh RiskLow MarginsSmall MarketUnproven;Low QualityHigh RiskLow MarginsSmall MarketUnproven;Startups have no choice.;Low QualityHigh RiskLow MarginsSmall MarketUnproven;The major disruptions in your industry …will not come from your industry!;Success is biggest problem.;Maximize fitness;Low fitness;Low fitness;Maximize fitness;Rugged landscape;New opporunity!;Devolve to less fit.;Disruption;Low QualityHigh RiskLow MarginsSmall MarketUnproven;Not close;1,800 Platforms 平台;$18 B;CrowdfundedEQUITY;Peer-to-peer currency;100 Crypto-currencies; Blockchain(P2P accounting);Money as value;Sharing Collaboration Tracking Broadcasting Annotation Identification;TheInevitable;1;1SHARING;Hierarchy Networks;;SecureCertainSlow;CentralizedClosedCommand;1975 2015 2045;Networks;Uber – no cars Facebook – no content Alibaba – no inventory AirBnB – no real estate;Access is better than ownership;On-Demand Economy Uber of X;Transportation;9,000MeshCompany;Crowd-sourced Automobile;Attention Economy;Follow the Attention;Pay for attention;Pay people to view ads;;Lifetime spend Lifetime ripple spend;Pay people To create ads;Prosumer Ad Network: Social Ads;Rental Shares Loans;Hardware = Software;Me We;Any thing that can be shared, will be shared.;APIs（应用程序接口）;;2INTERACTING;We no longer read We no longer watch We screen;People of the Screen;FixedPreciseAuthority;Public 3D;Screenless Display;;eBook?;2nd, 3rd Screen;;Emotion tracking;Adaptive;VR 虚拟现实;AR 增强现实;远程视在 Telepresence ;;If it cannot interact, it is broken.;3FLOWING;;Data about your customers, is as valuable as your customers;Data wants to link, to move.;Not storage,MOVAGE;File Folder Desktop;;Pages St