Factors Affecting Infestation by Triatoma infestans in a Rural Area of the Humid Chaco in Argentina A Multi-Model Inference Approach 英文参考文献.docVIP

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Factors Affecting Infestation by Triatoma infestans in a Rural Area of the Humid Chaco in Argentina A Multi-Model Inference Approach 英文参考文献.doc

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Factors Affecting Infestation by Triatoma infestans in a Rural Area of the Humid Chaco in Argentina A Multi-Model Inference Approach 英文参考文献

FactorsAffectingInfestationbyTriatomainfestansina RuralAreaoftheHumidChacoinArgentina:AMulti- ModelInferenceApproach JuanM.Gurevitz1,LeonardoA.Ceballos1,Mar?′aSolGaspe1,Julia′nA.Alvarado-Otegui1,GustavoF. Enr?′quez1,UrielKitron2,RicardoE.Gu¨rtler1* 1LaboratoryofEco-Epidemiology,DepartmentofEcology,GeneticsandEvolution,UniversidaddeBuenosAires,BuenosAires,Argentina,2DepartmentofEnvironmental Studies,EmoryUniversity,Atlanta,Georgia,UnitedStatesofAmerica Abstract Background:TransmissionofTrypanosomacruzibyTriatomainfestansremainsamajorpublichealthproblemintheGran Chacoecoregion,whereunderstandingofthedeterminantsofhouseinfestationislimited.Weconductedacross-sectional studytomodelfactorsaffectingbugpresenceandabundanceatsiteswithinhousecompoundsinawell-definedruralarea inthehumidArgentineChaco. Methodology/PrincipalFindings:Triatomainfestansbugswerefoundin45.9%of327inhabitedhousecompoundsbutonly in7.4%ofthe2,584sitesinspectedsystematicallyonthesecompounds,eventhoughthelastinsecticidesprayingcampaign wasconducted12yearsbefore.Infestedsitesweresignificantlyaggregatedatdistancesof0.8–2.5km.Themostfrequently infestedecotopesweredomiciles,kitchens,storerooms,chickencoopsandnests;corralswererarelyinfested.Domicileswith mudwallsandroofsofthatchorcorrugatedtarredcardboardweremoreofteninfested(32.2%)thandomicileswithbrick-and- cementwallsandcorrugatedmetal-sheetroofs(15.1%).Amulti-modelinferenceapproachusingAkaike’sinformationcriterion was applied to assess the relative importance of each variable by running all possible (17,406) models resulting from all combinationsofvariables.Availabilityofrefugesforbugs,constructionwithtarredcardboard,andhostabundance(humans, dogs,cats,andpoultry)persitewerepositivelyassociatedwithinfestationandabundance,whereasreportedinsecticideuse showedanegativeassociation.Ethnicbackground(CreoleorToba)adjustedforotherfactorsshowedlittleornoassociation. Conclusions/Significance:Promotionandeffectiveimplementationofhousingimprovement(includingkeyperidomes