土木工程论文翻译.doc

time-variant reliability analysis of three-dimensional slopes based on support vector machine method 基于支持向量机方法的三维斜坡时变可靠性分析 Abstract: In the reliability analysis of slope, the performance functions derived from the most available stability analysis procedures of slopes are usually implicit and cannot be solved by first-order second-moment approach. A new reliability analysis approach was presented based on three-dimensional Morgenstem-Price method to investigate three-dimensional effect of landslide in stability analyses. To obtain the reliability index, Support Vector Machine (SVM) was applied to approximate the performance function. The time-consuming of this approach is only 0.028% of that using Monte-Carlo method at the same computation accuracy. Also, the influence of time effect of shearing strength parameters of slope soils on the long-term reliability of three-dimensional slopes was investigated by this new approach. It is found that the reliability index of the slope would decrease by 52.54% and the failure probability would increase from 0.000 705% to 1.966%. In the end, the impact of variation coefficients of c and f on reliability index of slopes was taken into discussion and the changing trend was observed. 摘要:在边坡可靠性分析来自最稳定分析程序能通常是隐含的，不能由第一二阶矩方法解决。一新的基于三维的莫根施特恩价格法可靠性分析方法来探讨立体效果滑坡稳定分析。为了获得可靠性指标，支持向量机（SVM）采用功能。 在相同的计算精度这种使用蒙特卡罗方法方法只有0.028％此外，通过这种新方法研究三维斜坡上的长期可靠性边坡土壤剪切强度参数的时间效应的影响。据发现，边坡的可靠性指标将减少52.54％和失败将从0.000705％至1.966％。最后，对可靠性指标的影响变异系数C和F斜坡考虑到和变化趋势1 Introduction The establishment of limit state equation for slope reliability analyses is based on the calculation of factor of safety of the slope [1] which can be obtained usually by two-dimensional limit equilibrium analysis methods. 引言; 对边坡可靠性分析是基于计算边坡的安全系数的通常通过二维极限平衡分析方法 Generally, two-dimensional limit equilibrium analysis method can meet the engineering requirement. However, in engineering practice, landslide mass is a spatial assemblage of a variety of rock and soil masses and subjected to asymmetric