关中―天水经济区城市群资源环境承载力评价..docVIP

关中―天水经济区城市群资源环境承载力评价 　　摘要：以关中―天水经济区城市群的8个主要城市为样本，构建了包括资源承载力和人口与社会经济发展压力两个方面的18项指标组成的资源环境承载力评价指标体系。利用主成分分析法对关中―天水经济区城市群资源环境承载力进行综合性定量评价。结果表明：关中―天水经济区城市群的资源环境承载力空间差异明显，呈现为三个等级类型：西安、宝鸡和渭南城市资源环境承载力水平较高，咸阳、铜川和杨凌城市资源环境承载力水平中等，天水和商洛城市资源环境承载力水平较低。并根据各样本城市资源环境承载力的优势和劣势因素，提出优化和提升关中―天水经济区城市群资源环境承载力的政策性建议 Abstract： Taking the 8 major cities in the city group of Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone as the samples， the resource and environmental bearing capacity evaluation index system consisting of 18 indicators including resource bearing capacity and the pressure of population and social and economic development is constructed. PCA method is used for comprehensive quantitative evaluation of the resources and environmental bearing capacity of the city group of Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone. The result shows that： there is significant spatial difference in the resources and environmental bearing capacity of the city group of Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone and shows three levels： Xi’an， Baoji and Weinan have high resource and environmental bearing capacity； Xianyang， Tongchuan and Yangling have medium resource and environmental bearing capacity； Tianshui and Shangluo have low resource and environmental bearing capacity. And according to their advantages and disadvantages of resource and environmental bearing capacity， the policy recommendations of promoting the resources and environmental bearing capacity of Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone city group are raised. 关键词：城市群；资源环境承载力；主成分分析；政策建议 Key words： city group；resources and environmental bearing capacity；principal component analysis；policy recommendations 中图分类号：TV213.4 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1006-4311（2016）24-0047-05 0 引言 随着我国城市化进程的不断加快，城市群地区已经成为我国经济发展格局中最具活力和潜力的核心地区，代表着中国未来城市发展的主要方向和必然趋势。然而，城市群的形成与发展过程必然伴随着城镇密度提高、产业集聚发展、公路等交通运输网络形成等现象，这些要素的发展势必引起资源过度消耗、生态破坏、环境污染等问题，从而威胁到区域乃至国家的安全和可持续发展。因此，从理论方法和技术层面探讨如何协调环境与经济发展之间的关系，优化和提升城市群资源环境承载力日益受到许多领域学者的关注和研究 1 国内外研究综述 国外的资源环境综合承载力研究可追溯到20世纪60年代末到70年代初，D.梅多斯等利用系统动力学模型对世界范围内的资源