促进大型基础设施项目成功的路径设计研究.pdf

Value Engineering ·1 · 促进大型基础设施项目成功的路径设计研究 ResearchonPathPlanning for SuccessfulInfrastructureMegaproject 淤 淤 于 李睿 LIRui曰孙玉梅 SUNYu-mei曰张普伟 ZHANGPu-wei （淤昆明理工大学建筑工程学院，昆明650000；于同济大学经济与管理学院，上海200092） （淤Facultyof CivilEngineering andMechanics，KunmingUniversityof ScienceandTechnology，Kunming650000，China； 于SchoolofEconomics Management，Tongji University，Shanghai200092，China） 摘要院大型基础设施项目全寿命周期中可用信息和不确定性分布的不匹配（悖论）是成功的主要阻滞因素。基于PDCA循环原理 也是促进项目战术和 和项目评价理论所构建的大型基础设施项目全寿命期双环学习模型是破解可用信息和不确定性悖论的路径， 战 略成功的路径。以虹桥交通枢纽项目为例，说明该路径对促进大型基础设施成功，提升大型基础设施项目价值的有效性。 Abstract: The mismatch between the available information and the uncertainty distribution in the life cycle of mega infrastructure project (theparadox)isthe mainnegativefactorfor the success.BasedonPDCA cycletheory and project evaluationtheory, the double-loop learning model of mega infrastructure project is constructed to solve the available information and uncertainty paradox. The double-loop learning model is also the path to promote the tactical success and strategic success of infrastructure megaproject. Taking Hongqiao Integrated Transport Hub project as an example, this paper shows the effectiveness of the path to promote the success and enhance the value ofinfrastructure megaproject. 关键词院大型基础设施项目；可用信息与不确定性悖论；PDCA循环；双环学习模型;虹桥综合交通枢纽项目 Key words: infrastructure mega project；available information and uncertainty paradox；PDCA cycle；double loop learning model； HongqiaoIntegratedTransport Hubproject 中图分类号院F294 文献标识码院A 文章编号院1006-4311（2017）11-0001-03 0 引言 交付为止，实施阶段