灰色Verhulst动态新陈代谢模型在产品价格预测及需求预测中的应用.pdf

34 4 Vo.l 34, No. 4 2005 8 I form atio a d Co trol Aug. , 2005 : 100204 11( 2005) Verhulst 曹萃文, 顾幸生 ( , 200237) : , , . , Verhulst . , , . * : Verhu lst; ; : TP273 : A The Application of G rey Dynam ic V erhulstM etabolism M odel in the P rediction of Products P rices and D em ands CAO Cu iw e , GU X i gshe g (R esearch Institute of A utom ation, E ast China University of S cience and T echnology, Shangha i 200237, China) Ab stract: Prices a d dem a ds of various products are affected bym a y factors. It is difficult to set up a accu rate mathem atic model to describe their tre ds. After compari g several greym odels pred ictive resultsw ith periodi cal a d fluctuati g data, a ew dy am icVerhu lst metabolism m odel is set up. This model is ab le to produce ew i formatio to follow the ew te de cy to gai h igher predictio effects. K eywords: dy am ic Verhulst m etabolism model; predictio of products prices a d dem a ds; grey theory 1 ( Introduction , [ 1] , , ; [ 2] , Brow ia , ; [ 3] . , [ 4, 5] ; , , . , . , V erhu