森林生物多样性评价模型的改进.pdfVIP

No．12 2008 林业经济 FORESTRY ECONOMICS ·研究报告· 森林生物多样性评价模型的改进 张 颖 （北京林业大学经济管理学院 北京 100083） 摘 要：针对2002 年的评价模型中的不足，提出了新的改进后的森林生物多样性变化的评价模型，并在我国 第六次森林资源清查（1999～2003 ）资料的基础上，对 1973～2003 年我国森林生物多样性的变化进行了补充 评价。 评价结果表明：我国森林生物多样性的压力越来越大，压力指数由 1973 年的 100，上升到2003 年的 199.10，上升了 1.99 倍；森林物种多样性总体的下降趋势已有一定幅度的改变，森林物种多样性指数增加了 31.12% 。 森林生态系统多样性和森林生物多样性先逐渐上升，尔后又下降，第六次森林资源清查时又有所恢 复，并分别上升了4.67 个百分点和 17.90 个百分点。 关键词：森林；生物多样性；评价；模型；改进 中图分类号： 文献标识码： 文章编号： （ ） 307.26 A 1673－338X 2008 11－0048－05 Improvement on Evaluation Model of Forest Biodiversity Zhang Ying (Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083) Abstract ： This paper has improved on evaluation models of forest biodiversity designed in 2002 by author himself which have not considered the weights and the positive and negative influences in different induces. After better- ment models, the author renewed evaluation on forest biodiversity change from 1973 to 2003 based on the latest sixth survey of forest resources in China (1999-2003). The evaluation results indicated that from 1973 to 2003, the pressure of forest biodiversity is becoming more and more, the index of pressure with was 100 in 1973 raised 199.10 in 2003, has been raised 1.99 times. The trend of decrease of forest species has improved obviously and the index of forest species has increased 31.12% from 1973 to 2003. The forest ecological biodiversity and general forest biodiversity earlier gradually are raised, and then are fallen down and those are