利用人口普查原始数据对独生子女信息的估计_郭志刚.pdfVIP

7 1 Vol. 7 No. 1 2001 1 Market and Dem ographic Analysis Jan. 2001 : 1006- 3 6( 2001) 01- 0005- 07 郭志刚 ( , 100871) : 提出了一种利用人口普查原始数据估计各出生队列的独生子女- 孩次比 的方法, 并应用于 1990 年普查数据, 估计了部分队列的独生子女- 孩次比 , 定量化地揭示了各出生队列中一孩从 独生子女变为非独生子女的动态。对这 一方法所得到的队列独生子女比 与其他来源的估计进行 了比较。 : ; ; ; : 923: C A - Estimating Cohort Percentage of Only Children Using Data of Population Census - GUO Zhi gang ( , , 100871, ) Department of Sociology Peking University Beijing China : - / Abstract This paper proposes a method to estimate the only children child order distribution by birth cohort using original data from population census. The results based upon the 1990 census data quantitatively depict the dynamics of the distribution . , by age In addition the results are compared to the estimates by other method and data source for their consistency. Key words: only-children; match; child order; cohort 20 , , 1980 9 , 20 , , , , , , , : 2000- 10- 15 : ( 195 - ) , 5 市场与人口分析　2001 年第 1期 [ 1] 2000 , , 1988 1992 [ 2] ,5 , , , , 1990 , , , , , 1990 , ,