香港人口推算讲述.PDFVIP

香港人口推算 Hong Kong Population Projections 2004–2033 結果公布 Announcement of Results 二零零四年六月三十日 30 June 2004 政府統計處 Census and Statistics Department 1 緒言 Introduction •一套新的、涵蓋未來三十年的人口推算經 已製備。 • A new set of population projections, covering the coming 30 years, has been prepared. 2 推算方法 Projection methodology 香港人口 The Hong Kong Population 以「居港人口」量度 Measured by the “Hong Kong Resident Population” 常住居民：所有時間或大部分 Usual Residents: Residents who stay all 時間在港的居民 the time or the majority of their time in Hong Kong 是指兩類人士：（一）在統 refer to two categories of people: (1) Hong 計時點之前的六個月內，在 Kong Permanent Residents who have stayed 港逗留最少三個月，又或在 in Hong Kong for at least three months 統計時點之後的六個月內， during the six months before or for at least 在港逗留最少三個月的香港 three months during the six months after the reference time-point, regardless of whether 永久性居民，不論在統計時 they are in Hong Kong or not at the reference 點他們是否身在香港；及 time-point; and (2) Hong Kong Non- （二）在統計時點身在香港 permanent Residents who are in Hong Kong 的香港非永久性居民。 at the reference time-point. 3