贝叶斯推论统计在心理学研究中的应用-PsychologicalResearch摘要.PDFVIP

Advances in Psychology 心理学进展, 2014, 4, 26-32 /10.12677/ap.2014.41006 Published Online January 2014 (/journal/ap.html) Application of Bayesian Data Analyses in Psychological Research Xu Shen Psychology Department, School of Social Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing Email: shenxu2011@ Received: Nov. 14th, 2013; revised: Nov. 22nd , 2013; accepted: Dec. 3rd , 2013 Copyright © 2014 Xu Shen. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. In accordance of the Crea- tive Commons Attribution License all Copyrights © 2014 are reserved for Hans and the owner of the intellectual property Xu Shen. All Copyright © 2014 are guarded by law and by Hans as a guardian. Abstract: In recent years, the Bayesian Data Analysis method has increasingly received attention from psy- chological researchers. This method allows them to directly and objectively estimate the probability of a re- search hypothesis by deriving a posterior probability from the prior distribution and their own research data, or to use the Bayesian factor to directly compare which of two hypotheses can better explain their data. In this literature review paper, we summarized several major strengths of this inference method and its deficien- cies. We used examples to illustrate how it can be used in psychological research and summarized some software and textbooks that psychological researchers can use to learn the Bayesian data analysis method. This article aims to introduce a supplementary method into psychological research. Keywords: Ba