全球铁路发展及其影响因素的统计研究.pdfVIP

Abstract Abstract This paper through research on the development trend of global railway construction market provides reference for Chinese railway construction enterprises to implement the strategy of going out to directly participate in international market competition. This paper takes the path of interdisciplinary research on statistics and economics that based on market analysis theory and railway development history raises main factors of supply and demand affecting the railway development, including the demand determining economic industrialization level and constraints of rail transport substitute services and supply determining technical level and financial constraints, and further with use of statistical methods proposes statistical indicators reflecting the total size of railway construction market and its influencing factors, including the railway operating mileage, gross domestic product (GDP), per capita GDP and the proportion of tertiary industry in GDP , etc., thus providing theoretical basis for further studies. The market analysis research framework in this paper is set upon statistics and econometric model that determines relevant explanatory variables and explained variables in accordance with the results of theoretical research. After collection of indicator data in 1993-2006 basically covering 27 major countries worldwide, this paper applies statistical methods to make descriptive analysis and data packets and through unit root test, Johansen test, regression analysis and other techniques establishes econometric model for empirical study, thus having access to important parameters that ident