基于信息扩散理论的山洪灾害风险因子隶属度分析.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2016, 5(6), 599-605 Published Online December 2016 in Hans. /journal/jwrr /10.12677/jwrr.2016.56069 Using Information Diffusion to Analyze the Membership Degree in Risk Assessment of Flash Flood 1 2,3* 4 5 Longjian Zou , Ming Zhong , Xiaohong Yang , Xiaofei Liu 1 Qingyuan Water Conservancy Construction Management Office, Qingyuan Guangdong 2 Department of Water Resources and Environment, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou Guangdong 3 Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Water Security in Southern China of Guangdong High Education Institute, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou Guangdong 4 National Engineering Research Center of Geographic Information System, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan Hubei 5 School of Hydropower and Information Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan Hubei th th th Received: Nov. 25 , 2016; accepted: Dec. 8 , 2016; published: Dec. 19 , 2016 Copyright © 2016 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access Abstract Flash flood often occurs at small watershed, its forming condition is uncertain and multi-factorial. Con- sidering the uncertainty of probability distribution and the incompleteness of disaster data at small wa- tershed, a method of membership degree analysis based on information diffusion is proposed in this study. Firstly, the risk indicators of flash flood are quantified, using normal information diffusion func- tion, the original information matrix of risk indicators in study grid is established, and the control point is calculated. Based on one-dimensional linear information distribution funct