天津民航业与地方经济协调发展实证研究.docVIP

天津民航业与地方经济协调发展实证研究 邢诗雨 童楚 熊钦 指导老师：李国栋 （中国民航大学经济与管理学院） -2015年天津机场旅客吞吐量数据与天津市GDP、地区人口数量第二第三产业比例分配全社会固定资产投资国际收入和进出口总额Investigation and Research on Civil Aviation’s Contribution to the Economy and Society of Tianjin Liguodong, Xingshiyu, Tongchu, Xiongqin （ Economics and Management College of Civil Aviation University of China；） To promote the coordinated development of airport industry and national is not only the inherent requirement of civil airport public infrastructure orientation, but also the necessary prerequisite for the airport industry to realize its own sustainable development. This study chooses the data of Tianjin Airport passenger throughput from 2003 to 2015 and the GDP of Tianjin, the proportion of the population of the second region, the proportion of the second tertiary industry, the total investment in fixed assets, the international foreign exchange earnings and the total import and export data, The relationship between the civil aviation industry and the socio-economic interaction between the situation of the empirical study. The empirical results show that Tianjin is due to the lack of tertiary industry development level, Tianjin civil aviation only on the economy, population and other factors have a more direct impact, for example, foreign trade and other industries can not have a direct impact. The conclusion of the study has important implications for identifying the development stage of Chinas airport industry, the development of cognition airport industry and the coordinated development of airport industry and national economy. Key words: civil aviation industry; economy of Tianjin; Granger causality test 一、引言 随着中国经济与科技的快速发展，航空业尤其是民航业已经成为了我国重要的战略产业，在2015年初习近平主席作出批示说民航业是重要的战略产业，在经济方面民航业已经成为了推动经济社会发展的重要驱动力，同样民航也在一带一路等战略计划中起到不可替代的作用。在2016年召开的全国民航年中工作会议暨进一步深化民航改革动员部署会议中杨传堂提出要充分认识民航在促进区域经济发展中的基础性先导作用、在产业结构调整升级中的引领带动作用。同时国内外也有很多的学者做了有关民航与经济的调查研究，如陈鹏俊（2014）针对民航业对经济的带动作用以及民航与其下游产业之间的关系作出的分析。钟山（2009）运用调查数据针对北京首都国际机场对北京地区以及全国的经济贡献情况进行了进一步的实证研究。而与刘雪妮也利用