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毕设外文文献翻译
ApplicationofBayesianNetwork inImprovingCustomerCreditPrecision
1. Introduction
TheconceptofCRMwas firstmentionedbyGartnerGroup in1997,itisacyclingprocess
betweencorporationsand customers,which produces,collects andanalyzes customerdataandthen
appliestheresultstocorporateserviceand marketactivities.CRMisabrand-newideabutnotmerely
amanagement idea;itisalsoanewmanagementsystem whichdemands enterprises totransform
from “product-focus”to“custom-focus”model.
ThecoreofCRMisfocused oncustomers. It doessystematicresearchoncustomertoenhance
customservicelevel;itsfinalgoalistoraisecustomer’ssatisfactionandloyalty,toholdformer
customers, tocontend fornewcustomand opportunitiesand tobring moreprofitforcompanies.
CRM’spurposeistomakecorporateacknowledgetheircustomers, todevelop itsmostpossible
relationship withcustomers,torealizecustom’s biggestvalueandreach double-profitbetween
corporationsand customers.Thispaperfirstintroduces methodsofcalculatingBayesian network,
then establishesbiasnetwork’straditionalformationways accordingtosampledata, thentomine,
analyzeand evaluatecustomersofmobiletelecommunicationinordertorealizecustomer’scredit
analysis andtosupportthecorporationtomakecorrect strategicdecisions.
2. Bayesiannetwork
Datamining’scalculatingmethods,beingaclassical techniqueinCRM,hasbeen respected by
moreandmoreexpertsand corporations.However,calculatingmethodsoftraditionaldatamining
hasitsowndefects,soweintroduceBayesiannetwork incustom creditanalysis.Bayesian network
modelhascharacteristics asfollow:combingpriorinformationandsampledata,itontheonehand
avoidsthesubjectiveprejudiceifonlyusingthepriorinformationand avoidstheblindsearch and
wearisomecalculationiflacking ofsampledata, ontheother,itcanavoid thenoiseeffect ifonly
usingposteriorinformation.Bayesiannetwork model,absorbingpriorinformation,describingthe
relationship amongdatainfigureform,isavery convenient wayforforecast.
2.1 Bayesiannetwork model
Bayesiannetwork isalsoc
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