借鉴气象预报地震（Draw lessons from weather forecast earthquake）.doc

借鉴气象预报地震（Draw lessons from weather forecast earthquake） Geological activity Meteorology: the scientific principle of correlation between dry earthquakes 2008-05-27 In the world no preparation, no earthquake prediction in the earthquake management sector, 14:28 on May 12, 2008, a sudden 8 earthquake happened in Wenchuan of Sichuan Province, the eastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau Yingxiu - Beichuan - Qingchuan seismic zone (should be named as the Beichuan earthquake), causing huge loss of life and property, the victims nearly 100 thousand people, injured more than 300 thousand people, 5 million people have lost their homes and fled their homes, the affected population of more than 10 million people, economic losses of nearly 10000 yuan, Beichuan and other cities were razed to the ground, many earthquake landslide damming of lake and reservoir dam damage threat Minjiang River downstream of Chengdu plain, the earthquake also spread to Beijing, Shanghai Hainan, Taiwan, etc.. What is most distressing is that for the 512 Beichuan earthquake, there were no relevant predictions. According to the correlation between drought and earthquake, Mr. Geng Qingguo predicted the great earthquake (including medium and long-term forecast and short-term forecast) in advance, and foreign scientists also had the corresponding medium-term forecast. From a legal perspective, earthquake administration is not for earthquake occurrence, is in earthquake prediction; since making no earthquake prediction, once the devastating earthquake occurred, is tantamount to misstatement is a serious mistake, dereliction of duty, must be severely investigated and government and law. In view of the current level of earthquake prediction, the author argues that the State Seismological Bureau should be established at any time to provide earthquake probability forecast system to the whole society, see the earthquake prediction should refer to the weather forecast, earthquake probability forecast service, earthq