A Guide To Quantitative Risk Assessment for （定量风险评估指南）.pdf

A Guide To Quantitative Risk Assessment for Offshore Installations Principal Author John Spouge DNV Technica Disclaimer Every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that this Guide is based on the best knowledge available up to the time of finalising the text. However, no responsibility of any kind for any injury, delay, loss or damage, whatsoever, resulting from the use of the Guide can be accepted by CMPT, the sponsors or others involved in its publication. Publication 99/100a © CMPT 1999 ISBN I 870553 365 FOREWORD The need for guidance on risk assessment was identified as an industry requirement as a result of regulations, initially promulgated in the UK and Norway, requiring quantitative risk assessments of new and existing installations as part of their safety case. At that time, no standard reference works existed, most expertise was held by individual operators and consultants and little reached the public domain. The project leading to this Guide was initiated by MTD Ltd, and is now published by The Centre for Marine and Petroleum Technology (CMPT), in order to assist engineers involved in commissioning, performing and evaluating risk assessments specifically for the offshore industry. The Guide was prepared under contract by Mr J R Spouge of DNV Technica (now part of Det Norske Veritas) as the primary contractor, with significant input from AEA Technology and Dovre Safetec. It was sponsored by 8 organisations (four oil operators and four regulatory bodies) and was managed for MTD, and latterly CMPT, by Mr R W Barrett. Project Sponsors Amoco (U.K.) Exploration Company Chevron UK Ltd Exxon