核设施放射性灾害应变与复合式灾害互依性分析技术建立.PDF

核設施放射性災害應變與 複合式災害互依性分析技術建立 Development of the Analysis Techniques for Emergency Response to Radiological Accidents and Infrastructures Interdependency under Multiple Concurrent Hazards 主管單位：行政院原子能委員會 徐清鈺 汪子文 林家德黃佳慧 邱鈺婷 Ching-Yu Hsu, Tzu-Wen Wang, Jyh-Der Lin, Chia-Hui Huang, Yu-Ting Chiu 行政院原子能委員會核能研究所 摘要 發生國際間重大核子或輻射事故時，政府必須採取適當的緊急應變行動， 以確保民眾和環境之安全。緊急應變行動所涵蓋的技術領域相當廣泛，包括規 範與標準研擬、輻射偵測、劑量評估、防護措施整備等，因此必須建立相關的 技術以支援政府的決策系統，故本研究針對輻射長程之擴散模式、經濟影響、 健康效應、緊急應變準則進行模擬分析。 此外，因應近年來天候環境變化與人為事故頻傳，所衍生對於複合式災害 之顧慮，探討核設施在此類災害下的可能風險，本研究亦檢視核能電廠之水災 風險，並開發核能電廠與其他基礎設施互依性分析方法論，為相關管制分析能 力奠定必要基礎，以協助原能會等相關主管部門研擬管制措施，確保在重大天 災或人為事故下，核設施仍能安全運轉並提供基載電力，除善盡核能管制機關 施政責任，亦可增進民眾對核能應用之信心，進而推廣核能發展，對低碳能源 使用持續貢獻。 關鍵詞 ：長程之擴散模式、經濟影響、健康效應、緊急應變 1 Abstract To cope with postulated catastrophic accidents that might be caused by a series of equipment failures in nuclear power plants, government has to adopt an adequate emergency response to protect people and environment. Emergency response actions extensively cover various technical issues, include making standard and regulation, radiation indicators, dose assessment, emergency preparedness, etc. Therefore, it is necessary to set up technical base and support government decision. This research discusses such technical base: long-range dispersion models, economic impacts, health effect, and emergency response. In light of recent climate change associated phenomena and human-caused events, risk of nuclear infrastructure form multiple concurrent hazards is also addressed in this report. This research also reviews risk from flood disaster in nuclear power plant and explore